ارزیابی پتانسیل منابع سمت تقاضا در حضور تجهیزات سرمایشی و گرمایشی با استفاده از روش داده-کاوی مبتنی بر الگوریتم طبقه¬بندی k-means
محورهای موضوعی : مهندسی برق و کامپیوترفاطمه شیبانی 1 , مژگان ملاحسنی‌پور 2 * , هنگامه کشاورز 3
1 - دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان،دانشكده مهندسي برق و كامپيوتر
2 - دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان،دانشكده مهندسي برق و كامپيوتر
3 - دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان،دانشكده مهندسي برق و كامپيوتر
کلید واژه: انرژی مصرفی, پاسخگویی بار, داده‌کاوی, شبکه هوشمند, قیمت, تغییرات دمایی,
چکیده مقاله :
در بستر سیستم‌های قدرت هوشمند، تعیین پتانسیل منابع پاسخگویی تقاضا به علت اثرگذاری بر تمامی سیاست‌های تصمیم‌گیری حوزه انرژی حایز اهمیت است. در مقاله حاضر، پتانسیل منابع پاسخگویی تقاضا در حضور تجهیزات سرمایشی و گرمایشی، با استفاده از روش الگوریتم طبقه‌بندی k-means به عنوان یک روش داده‌کاوی، تعیین می‌شود. ابتدا داده‌های انرژی مصرفی در ساعات پیک دوره‌های گرم (بهار و تابستان) و دوره‌های سرد (پاییز و زمستان)، با توجه به تغییرات قیمت و دما، با استفاده از الگوریتم k-means در خوشه‌های مختلفی گروه‌بندی می‌شوند. خوشه‌هایی با امکان حضور وسایل سرمایشی و گرمایشی، انتخاب می‌شوند. سپس نمودار بازه اطمینان داده‌های انرژی مصرفی در خوشه‌های منتخب با توجه به تغییرات قیمت انرژی ترسیم می‌گردد. با توجه به فاصله کمینه و بیشینه در میانگین داده‌های موجود در آستانه بالا و آستانه متوسط نمودار بازه اطمینان، پتانسیل نامی منابع پاسخگویی تقاضا (بار انعطاف‌پذیر) به دست می‌آید. اطلاعات انرژی مصرفی، دما و قیمت انرژی شبکه برق BOSTON در یک افق زمانی شش‌ساله به منظور ارزیابی مدل پیشنهادی استفاده می‌شود.
Under the smart power systems, determining the amount of Demand Response Resources(DRRs) potential is considered as a crucial issue due to affecting in all energy policy decisions. In this paper, the potential of DRRs in presence of cooling and heating equipment are identified using k-means clustering algorithm as a data mining technique. In this regard, the energy consumption dataset are categorized in different clusters by k-means algorithm based upon variations of energy price and ambient temperature during peak hours of hot (Spring and Summer) and cold (Autumn and Winter) periods. Then, the clusters with the possibility of cooling and heating equipment’s commitment are selected. After that, the confidence interval diagram of energy consumption in elected clusters is provided based upon energy price variations. The nominal potential of DRRs, i.e. flexible load, will be obtained regarding the maximum and minimum differences between the average of energy consumption in upper and middle thresholds of the confidence interval diagram. The energy consumption, ambient temperature and energy price related to BOSTON electricity network over a six-year horizon time is utilized to evaluate the proposed model.
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